28 October, USA general election situation

These are the updated probability obtained running the Python code that computes the Bayesian posterior distribution over the electoral votes using near-ignorance priors. The worst and best case distribution for Clinton are in red and respectively, blue..

  • Winning probability above 0.99 (for both worst and best scenario).
  • Electoral votes between 322 and 335 (mean of the worst and best distribution)

 The state-by-state situation is here

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